ПОДЕЛИТЬСЯ

Настойчивая рекомендация госдепа все же начать исполнение Минских соглашений и провести в конце концов на Донбассе выборы, Киев ставит в затруднительную ситуацию. Получается такая ситуация, что любой шаг в данном направлении  ухудшит позиции Порошенко, однако, дальнейшая задержка в этом вопросе будет ставить Киев в качестве основного виновного в несоблюдении обязательств взятых на себя . Заводить речь в данном случае о продлении санкций против России станет проблемно. Но Порошенко не так прост, как думают многие. Как только неясная перспектива потребности проведения выборов обернулась в настоящую угрозу, а отмашки типа необходимого админресурса и отсутствия денег для внесения поправок в конституцию — аргументом уже перестали быть, он заявил о необходимости присутствия полицейской миссии ОБСЕ. Но Европа тоже неглупая. Брать ответственность на себя и перспектива оказаться крайней, — её не устраивает. Более того нынешняя ситуация для неё крайне выгодна. Если  не состоятся выборы, то появится железобетонный аргумент того, что именно Киевом блокируется процесс выполнения Минских соглашений. И это даст причину большинству европейских стран не голосовать за продление санкций против России. Учитывая то, что Франция, Венгрия, Италия и даже Германия навязываемой им позиции сопротивляются, после того, как возобладает основание, что прогресса в деле установления мира нет, поскольку Украина не хочет одобрить проведение выборов, о единогласии можно  будет забыть на долгое время. Таким образом понятно, что Европе  несоблюдение минских договорённостей выгодно именно со ссылкой на украинскую сторону. Так что если даже выборы когда-нибудь и состоятся, то их итог вряд ли обрадует Киев. Более того, неугодное клике волеизлияние окончательно легитимирует управление народных республик. И с этим нужно будет считаться и смириться . Не говоря о том, что придётся ответить на массу неудобных вопросов, признать, что АТО первоначально не имело смысла и громадное количество человеческих жертв и истраченных ресурсов были антиконституционным правонарушением. Так что, дамы и господа, вскоре мы услышим очередную трагическую и поучительную историю о мальчике Пете, который   провести выборы на Донбассе хочет, но ему в очередной раз в этом мешает злой волк в исполнении мальчика Вовы.

 

 

25 КОММЕНТАРИИ

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